End of Bull Market – Will the Bears finally get it right this time?

Short-term traders have been watching the triangle pattern on the daily chart of the SPX (see chart below) for the last few weeks and this has clearly been resolved to the downside, with prices not only breaking below the triangle but even breaching the 50 day moving average. This quite clearly signals the end to [...]

How should you measure your SMSF performance?

Most mutual funds measure their performance against a market index and I know some Self Managed Super Funds (SMSF) do the same. Each public fund has an investment strategy which is outlined in their product disclosure statement (PDS) and it cannot be changed by the fund manager without the approval of the members of the [...]

2010 Bear Market Strategies

I was surprised when I found out that the top keyword search phrase for my blog this month was “2010 Bear Market Strategies”. Due to the lack of bearish articles on Australian sites, my little old blog appeared in the top 2 listings on the Google search results! For the few bears out there (according [...]

Flight to safety starting

In the last few days, the only “green” on my watchlist of Australian stocks were those of defensive stocks like utilities and consumer staples while the mining and banking stocks tumbled. Telstra, which was so unloved in the past months is finally making a strong comeback. For those public super funds who have to maintain [...]

Is China a leading indicator?

China’s stock market started rebounding in November 2008, about four months before most other global markets which only started their rallies around March 09. I have been watching the Shanghai Composite Index (ticker symbol ^SSEC on Yahoo Finance) which has rallied about 100% since Nov 2008 and seems to have peeked around early August 2009. [...]

How your SMSF can profit when the market goes down

Stock investors can only profit when stocks go up in price. The only way for a stock investor to profit in a falling market would be sell short but most people are uncomfortable with short selling. Short sellers are perceived negatively and are frequently blamed by regulators and company CEOs for causing stock prices to [...]

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